2021 Performance Review – 22.9% Average Annual Investment Returns The Last Decade
In today’s post I’m sharing my 2021 performance review and how I’ve produced 22.9% average
In recent weeks we’ve talked about how to find great investments in several articles.
This is important… But what happens after you find a great-looking investment… But things go wrong?
When should you sell something you’ve bought?
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Almost everyone you ever learn from in the world of investment and finance will focus 100% of their time telling you when you should buy something.
But these people are missing out on a huge part of the equation when investing real world money…
When should you sell?
To answer that I’m going to show you an excerpt from our free guide 7 Tips To Picking Great Stocks and The 3 Times You MUST Sell.
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I NEVER thought about this question myself until I was forced to.
Years ago, I found, researched, and saw a special situation opportunity coming.
I estimated the potential upside while weighing the downside risks and figured that there was a far greater than 50% chance of a safe 30% return in 3 months.
But I was fully invested at the time and didn’t know what to sell.
So I sat on my hands and did nothing.
Well it turns out I was wrong about that opportunity… In a bad way for me and my investors.
It turned out that the opportunity I took an enormous amount of time and hard work figuring out did happen. So I was right about this.
But instead of it going up 30% in 3 months, it went up more than 60% in less than 3 months. I was massively wrong about this.
And I missed it because I didn’t know what or when to sell.
While that short term pain of missing out on that opportunity still hurts years later, it forced me to build specific criteria for when I sell.
And these have helped me immensely in the years since.
I’m sharing them here with you so you can avoid the pain of missing out on a great opportunity when you see it coming. While also limiting your mistakes further when they do come up.
If I come across some new piece of major negative information for example that I missed or that was released after I finished my initial analysis, I sell.
If they start using shareholder money for their spouses to use private jets, pay for security for a billionaire owner of the company, etc.
In other words, if I feel managers aren’t doing what’s in the best interest of all shareholders, I sell.
Oh, and the examples of the private jets and security for billionaires – those are real world examples I’ve read in financial statements before.
If I find what I feel after the analysis to be a better opportunity for the long term for my investors, I sell.
Some examples of this are…
This has only happened once to me so it is rarer than the other situations.
But If I buy something and it goes up a lot with no new publicly released news, and it goes far above my intrinsic value estimate, I sell.
Why?
Because the margin of safety is gone if the price goes up that much in that short of a time frame.
And, because if the share price rises a lot, there should be some related public news, not potential back room shenanigans by company executives and insiders.
***
These are the 4 Times You MUST Sell an investment after you’ve bought it.
You might be thinking… This is it?
Yes it really is.
Because the investments I typically buy are Warren Buffett style compounders – buy and hold forever stocks – these are the only times I sell a stock.
If it doesn’t meet these criteria… I don’t sell. Unless its some kind of special situation or NCAV stock.
This may seem simple, but these 4 things have helped save and make me more money than just about anything as an investor.
And I know they’ll also help you.
Always in your service,
Jason
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In today’s post I’m sharing my 2021 performance review and how I’ve produced 22.9% average
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